Legal provisions of COM(2018)689 - European Development Fund (EDF): forecasts of commitments, payments and contributions from Member States for 2018, 2019, 2020 and non-binding forecast for the years 2021-2022

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dossier COM(2018)689 - European Development Fund (EDF): forecasts of commitments, payments and contributions from Member States for 2018, 2019, ...
document COM(2018)689 EN
date October 16, 2018
EUROPEAN COMMISSION

Brussels, 16.10.2018

COM(2018) 689 final

COMMUNICATION FROM THE COMMISSION TO THE COUNCIL

European Development Fund (EDF): forecasts of commitments, payments and contributions from Member States for 2018, 2019, 2020 and non-binding forecast for the years 2021-2022


1. Foreword

In accordance with Article 7(1) of the 11th EDF Internal Agreement 1 and Article 21(2) of Council Regulation (EU) 2015/323 2 on the Financial Regulation applicable to the 11th European Development Fund (hereinafter referred to as '11th EDF Financial Regulation'), the Commission presents in this document estimates of commitments, payments and contributions for the period 2018 to 2020, taking into account the forecasts of the European Investment Bank (EIB).

This document sets out the financial implementation forecasts of the EDFs (Eighth to 11th) for 2018 until 2020. In addition, this document makes a non-binding estimation, for the EDF contributions from the Member States, for the years 2021 and 2022.

Member States contribute funds directly to the European Investment Bank (EIB) for the instruments which it manages under the Ninth, 10th, and 11th EDFs (the Investment Facility and interest-rate subsidies).

2. Introduction

The Commission and the EIB have updated their commitment and payment forecasts for 2018, 2019 and 2020 for each of the ACP countries 3 and the OCTs 4 . The payment forecasts in particular have been compiled with the aim of helping Member States to assess as accurately as possible the amounts they need to earmark in their national budgets while ensuring that sufficient financial resources are available for the EDF to avoid liquidity problems.

In accordance with Article 7 of the 11th EDF Internal Agreement 5 and Article 21(2) of the 11th EDF Financial Regulation 6 , the estimates of commitments and payments have been updated following the latest forecasts.

The graph below shows the general evolution in gross commitments and payments since 1999 until 2017 and projections for the period 2018-2020 (Commission and EIB cumulated amounts).


Gross commitments and payments: trend 1999-2020 (EUR Million)


Note: Figures from implementation of the European Development Funds until 31 December 2017 (commitments and payments) and forecasts for 2018-2020.

3. Financial forecasts for 2018 - 2020 (EUR Million)

The following table provides an update of the commitments, the payments and of the contributions, based on the Commission's latest forecasts.

Forecasts 2018-2020 (*)
201820192020
 (EUR Million) (EUR Million) (EUR Million)
CommitmentsCommission4,5374,0573,823
EIB880930930
Total5,4174,9874,753
PaymentsCommission4,2004,4004,600
EIB555580605
Total4,7554,9805,205
ContributionsCommission4,2504,4004,600
EIB250**300300
Total4,5004,7004,900

* Gross amounts, i.e. no decommitments or recoveries/reflows have been deducted. This approach is in line with approach used for the general budget of the Union.
** ref. EIB explanatory note for information of 17/11/2015, MD no: 151/15 ADD 1 ACP

4. Non-binding Estimates of contributions for 2021 - 2022 (EUR Million)

Forecasts 2020-2021 (*)20212022
 (EUR Million) (EUR Million)
ContributionsCommission4,0003,500
EIB300400
Total4,3003,900

* Art.21 (2) 11th EDF Financial Regulation (EU 2015/323): indicative, non-binding forecast based on a statistical approach for the expected annual amounts of contributions for the years n + 3 and n + 4.

5. Financial implementation forecasts for 2018, 2019 and 2020.

The updated forecasts are set out in attachments 1 to 3.

For 2018, the estimates for commitments that were indicated in the June 2018 Communication, have been revised upwards following a Decision 7 from the Commission to increase the funding from the EDF to the EU Emergency Trust Fund for Africa by EUR 650 million. The level of EDF payments remains unchanged and should consolidate at the current record level of EUR 4.2 billion.


Attachments 1, 2 and 3 show respectively forecasts of commitments, forecasts of payments and the financial situation compared with previous forecasts for the period 2018-2020.

Attachments 4 and 5 show respectively contributions for 2019 and for 2020 per instalment and per Member State.

Attachment 6 shows the yearly contributions for the period 2018-2022 per Member State.

5.1.Attachment 1: Forecasts for commitments 8 for 2018, 2019 and 2020 (EUR million)

201820192020
Communication June 2018Communication October 2018Communication June 2018Communication October 2018Communication June 2018Communication October 2018
Regions
East and Southern Africa1,0701,070986
West and Central Africa1,3551,3551,071
Latin America and Caribbean208208240
Pacific231231216
Sub-total*2,8642,8642,512
Other
Peace Facility, Human rights359359340
EU-Africa, African Peace Facility201201700
Planet and Prosperity236236287
EUTF Africa06500
Resources, Evaluation, process211211199
DG ECHO, EACEA, DG EAC161619
Sub-total*1,0231,6731,544
Total European Commission*3,8874,5373,8574,0573,823
Investment facility800800850850850
Interest rate subsidies (**)8080808080
Total EIB*880880930930930
TOTAL EC+EIB*4,7675,4174,7874,9874,753


* Due to rounding effects, the sum of individual rounded amounts shown may differ slightly from the corresponding totals

** Including interest rate subsidies under previous EDFs

5.2.Attachment 2: Forecasts for payments 9 for 2018, 2019 and 2020 (EUR million)

201820192020
Communication June 2018Communication October 2018Communication June 2018Communication October 2018Communication June 2018Communication October 2018
Regions
East and Southern Africa827827936
West and Central Africa1,7701,7701,893
Latin America and Caribbean157157223
Pacific979796
Sub-total*2,8512,8513,148
Other
Peace Facility, Human rights227227240
EU-Africa, African Peace Facility371371400
Planet and Prosperity405405375
Resources, Evaluation, process158158159
DG ECHO, EACEA, DG EAC18718778
Sub-total*1,3481,3481,252
Total European Commission*4,2004,2004,6004,4004,600
Investment facility525525550550575
Interest rate subsidies (**)3030303030
Total EIB*555555580580605
TOTAL European Commission + EIB*4,7554,7555,1804,9805,205


* Due to the rounding effects, the sum of individual rounded amounts shown may differ slightly from the corresponding totals

** Including interest rate subsidies under previous EDFs

5.3.Attachment 3: Financial situation, forecasts for 2018-2020 and non-binding estimations for 2021 - 2022 (EUR million):

Communication June 2018 1Communication October 2018 1
CommissionEIB 6TOTALCommissionEIB 6TOTAL
Balance 31/12/2017 42845233628452336
2018Member States Contributions for 2018:4,2502504,5004,2502504,500
1st instalment2,0501502,2002,0501502,200
2nd instalment1,3001001,4001,3001001,400
3rd instalment90009009000900
Reflows 2300300330330
Contrib. & Adjust. 2018 received in 2017-173-173-173-173
Contrib. & Adjust. 2019 received in 201800
Recoveries, interest and other incomes80806868
Total payments 3-4,200-555-4,755-4,200-555-4,755
Balance at 31/12/20182414728822977306
2019Member States Contributions for 2019:4,6003004,9004,4003004,700
1st instalment2,0001002,100
2nd instalment1,5001001,600
3rd instalment9001001,000
Reflows 2300300320320
Contrib. & Adjust. 2019 received in 2018
Recoveries, interest and other80806565
Total payments 3-4,600-580-5,180-4,400-580-4,980
Balance at 31/12/201932167388294117411
2020Member States Contributions for 2020:4,6003004,9004,6003004,900
Reflows 2330330
Recoveries, interest and other6565
Total payments 3-4,600-605-5,205
Balance at 31/12/2020359142501
2021Member States Contributions for 2021 54,7003005,0004,0003004,300
2022Member States Contributions for 2022 53,5004003,900


1    Funds available for operations as per Communication from the Commission to the Council;
2    Net of EIB management fees;
3    Including interest rates subsidies under the previous EDFs;
4    Art.21(2)(d) Financial Regulation: non-binding forecast based on a statistical approach for the expected annual contributions for the years n + 3 and n + 4;
5    Art.21(1), calls for contributions shall first use up the amounts laid down for previous EDFs, one after the other. Therefore calls under the 11th EDF to finance the IFE are further delayed.

6-7    The EDF treasury balance can never be negative. Any negative amounts in the table indicates a shortage of payment credits.


5.4.Attachment 4: Member States contributions for 2019 (EUR)

MEMBER STATESKey 10th EDF %Key 11th EDF %1st instalment2nd instalment3rd instalmentTotal EIBTotal
Commission
Total 2019
EIBCommissionEIBCommissionEIBCommission
10th EDF11th EDF10th EDF11th EDF10th EDF11th EDF
BELGIUM3.533.249273,530,000.0064,985,400.003,530,000.0048,739,050.003,530,000.0029,243,430.0010,590,000.00142,967,880.00153,557,880.00
BULGARIA0.140.21853140,000.004,370,600.00140,000.003,277,950.00140,000.001,966,770.00420,000.009,615,320.0010,035,320.00
CZECH REPUBLIC0.510.79745510,000.0015,949,000.00510,000.0011,961,750.00510,000.007,177,050.001,530,000.0035,087,800.0036,617,800.00
DENMARK2.001.980452,000,000.0039,609,000.002,000,000.0029,706,750.002,000,000.0017,824,050.006,000,000.0087,139,800.0093,139,800.00
GERMANY20.5020.5798020,500,000.00411,596,000.0020,500,000.00308,697,000.0020,500,000.00185,218,200.0061,500,000.00905,511,200.00967,011,200.00
ESTONIA0.050.0863550,000.001,727,000.0050,000.001,295,250.0050,000.00777,150.00150,000.003,799,400.003,949,400.00
IRELAND0.910.94006910,000.0018,801,200.00910,000.0014,100,900.00910,000.008,460,540.002,730,000.0041,362,640.0044,092,640.00
GREECE1.471.507351,470,000.0030,147,000.001,470,000.0022,610,250.001,470,000.0013,566,150.004,410,000.0066,323,400.0070,733,400.00
SPAIN7.857.932487,850,000.00158,649,600.007,850,000.00118,987,200.007,850,000.0071,392,320.0023,550,000.00349,029,120.00372,579,120.00
FRANCE19.5517.8126919,550,000.00356,253,800.0019,550,000.00267,190,350.0019,550,000.00160,314,210.0058,650,000.00783,758,360.00842,408,360.00
CROATIA0.000.225180.004,503,600.000.003,377,700.000.002,026,620.000.009,907,920.009,907,920.00
ITALY12.8612.5300912,860,000.00250,601,800.0012,860,000.00187,951,350.0012,860,000.00112,770,810.0038,580,000.00551,323,960.00589,903,960.00
CYPRUS0.090.1116290,000.002,232,400.0090,000.001,674,300.0090,000.001,004,580.00270,000.004,911,280.005,181,280.00
LATVIA0.070.1161270,000.002,322,400.0070,000.001,741,800.0070,000.001,045,080.00210,000.005,109,280.005,319,280.00
LITHUANIA0.120.18077120,000.003,615,400.00120,000.002,711,550.00120,000.001,626,930.00360,000.007,953,880.008,313,880.00
LUXEMBOURG0.270.25509270,000.005,101,800.00270,000.003,826,350.00270,000.002,295,810.00810,000.0011,223,960.0012,033,960.00
HUNGARY0.550.61456550,000.0012,291,200.00550,000.009,218,400.00550,000.005,531,040.001,650,000.0027,040,640.0028,690,640.00
MALTA0.030.0380130,000.00760,200.0030,000.00570,150.0030,000.00342,090.0090,000.001,672,440.001,762,440.00
NETHERLANDS4.854.776784,850,000.0095,535,600.004,850,000.0071,651,700.004,850,000.0042,991,020.0014,550,000.00210,178,320.00224,728,320.00
AUSTRIA2.412.397572,410,000.0047,951,400.002,410,000.0035,963,550.002,410,000.0021,578,130.007,230,000.00105,493,080.00112,723,080.00
POLAND1.302.007341,300,000.0040,146,800.001,300,000.0030,110,100.001,300,000.0018,066,060.003,900,000.0088,322,960.0092,222,960.00
PORTUGAL1.151.196791,150,000.0023,935,800.001,150,000.0017,951,850.001,150,000.0010,771,110.003,450,000.0052,658,760.0056,108,760.00
ROMANIA0.370.71815370,000.0014,363,000.00370,000.0010,772,250.00370,000.006,463,350.001,110,000.0031,598,600.0032,708,600.00
SLOVENIA0.180.22452180,000.004,490,400.00180,000.003,367,800.00180,000.002,020,680.00540,000.009,878,880.0010,418,880.00
SLOVAKIA0.210.37616210,000.007,523,200.00210,000.005,642,400.00210,000.003,385,440.00630,000.0016,551,040.0017,181,040.00
FINLAND1.471.509091,470,000.0030,181,800.001,470,000.0022,636,350.001,470,000.0013,581,810.004,410,000.0066,399,960.0070,809,960.00
SWEDEN2.742.939112,740,000.0058,782,200.002,740,000.0044,086,650.002,740,000.0026,451,990.008,220,000.00129,320,840.00137,540,840.00
UNITED KINGDOM14.8214.6786214,820,000.00293,572,400.0014,820,000.00220,179,300.0014,820,000.00132,107,580.0044,460,000.00645,859,280.00690,319,280.00
TOTAL EU-28100.00100.00100,000,000.002,000,000,000.00100,000,000.001,500,000,000.00100,000,000.00900,000,000.00300,000,000.004,400,000,000.004,700,000,000.00

5.5.Attachment 5: Member States contributions for 2020 (EUR)

MEMBER STATESKey 10th EDF %Key 11th EDF %1st instalment2nd instalment3rd instalmentTotal EIBTotal
Commission
Total 2020
EIBCommissionEIBCommissionEIBCommission
10th EDF11th EDF10th EDF11th EDF10th EDF11th EDF
BELGIUM3.533.249273,530,000.0064,985,400.003,530,000.0051,988,320.003,530,000.0032,492,700.0010,590,000.00149,466,420.00160,056,420.00
BULGARIA0.140.21853140,000.004,370,600.00140,000.003,496,480.00140,000.002,185,300.00420,000.0010,052,380.0010,472,380.00
CZECH REPUBLIC0.510.79745510,000.0015,949,000.00510,000.0012,759,200.00510,000.007,974,500.001,530,000.0036,682,700.0038,212,700.00
DENMARK2.001.980452,000,000.0039,609,000.002,000,000.0031,687,200.002,000,000.0019,804,500.006,000,000.0091,100,700.0097,100,700.00
GERMANY20.5020.5798020,500,000.00411,596,000.0020,500,000.00329,276,800.0020,500,000.00205,798,000.0061,500,000.00946,670,800.001,008,170,800.00
ESTONIA0.050.0863550,000.001,727,000.0050,000.001,381,600.0050,000.00863,500.00150,000.003,972,100.004,122,100.00
IRELAND0.910.94006910,000.0018,801,200.00910,000.0015,040,960.00910,000.009,400,600.002,730,000.0043,242,760.0045,972,760.00
GREECE1.471.507351,470,000.0030,147,000.001,470,000.0024,117,600.001,470,000.0015,073,500.004,410,000.0069,338,100.0073,748,100.00
SPAIN7.857.932487,850,000.00158,649,600.007,850,000.00126,919,680.007,850,000.0079,324,800.0023,550,000.00364,894,080.00388,444,080.00
FRANCE19.5517.8126919,550,000.00356,253,800.0019,550,000.00285,003,040.0019,550,000.00178,126,900.0058,650,000.00819,383,740.00878,033,740.00
CROATIA0.000.225180.004,503,600.000.003,602,880.000.002,251,800.000.0010,358,280.0010,358,280.00
ITALY12.8612.5300912,860,000.00250,601,800.0012,860,000.00200,481,440.0012,860,000.00125,300,900.0038,580,000.00576,384,140.00614,964,140.00
CYPRUS0.090.1116290,000.002,232,400.0090,000.001,785,920.0090,000.001,116,200.00270,000.005,134,520.005,404,520.00
LATVIA0.070.1161270,000.002,322,400.0070,000.001,857,920.0070,000.001,161,200.00210,000.005,341,520.005,551,520.00
LITHUANIA0.120.18077120,000.003,615,400.00120,000.002,892,320.00120,000.001,807,700.00360,000.008,315,420.008,675,420.00
LUXEMBOURG0.270.25509270,000.005,101,800.00270,000.004,081,440.00270,000.002,550,900.00810,000.0011,734,140.0012,544,140.00
HUNGARY0.550.61456550,000.0012,291,200.00550,000.009,832,960.00550,000.006,145,600.001,650,000.0028,269,760.0029,919,760.00
MALTA0.030.0380130,000.00760,200.0030,000.00608,160.0030,000.00380,100.0090,000.001,748,460.001,838,460.00
NETHERLANDS4.854.776784,850,000.0095,535,600.004,850,000.0076,428,480.004,850,000.0047,767,800.0014,550,000.00219,731,880.00234,281,880.00
AUSTRIA2.412.397572,410,000.0047,951,400.002,410,000.0038,361,120.002,410,000.0023,975,700.007,230,000.00110,288,220.00117,518,220.00
POLAND1.302.007341,300,000.0040,146,800.001,300,000.0032,117,440.001,300,000.0020,073,400.003,900,000.0092,337,640.0096,237,640.00
PORTUGAL1.151.196791,150,000.0023,935,800.001,150,000.0019,148,640.001,150,000.0011,967,900.003,450,000.0055,052,340.0058,502,340.00
ROMANIA0.370.71815370,000.0014,363,000.00370,000.0011,490,400.00370,000.007,181,500.001,110,000.0033,034,900.0034,144,900.00
SLOVENIA0.180.22452180,000.004,490,400.00180,000.003,592,320.00180,000.002,245,200.00540,000.0010,327,920.0010,867,920.00
SLOVAKIA0.210.37616210,000.007,523,200.00210,000.006,018,560.00210,000.003,761,600.00630,000.0017,303,360.0017,933,360.00
FINLAND1.471.509091,470,000.0030,181,800.001,470,000.0024,145,440.001,470,000.0015,090,900.004,410,000.0069,418,140.0073,828,140.00
SWEDEN2.742.939112,740,000.0058,782,200.002,740,000.0047,025,760.002,740,000.0029,391,100.008,220,000.00135,199,060.00143,419,060.00
UNITED KINGDOM14.8214.6786214,820,000.00293,572,400.0014,820,000.00234,857,920.0014,820,000.00146,786,200.0044,460,000.00675,216,520.00719,676,520.00
TOTAL EU-28100.00100.00100,000,000.002,000,000,000.00100,000,000.001,600,000,000.00100,000,000.001,000,000,000.00300,000,000.004,600,000,000.004,900,000,000.00

5.6.Attachment 6: Member States contributions for 2018-2022 (EUR)

MEMBER STATES10th11th20182019202020212022
EDFEDFCOM 11thEIB 10thCOM 11thEIB 10thCOM 11thEIB 10thCOM 11thEIB 10thEIB 11thCOM 11thEIB 11th
BELGIUM3.533.24927138,093,9758,825,000142,967,88010,590,000149,466,42010,590,000129,970,8002,471,0007,473,321113,724,45012,997,080
BULGARIA0.140.218539,287,525350,0009,615,320420,00010,052,380420,0008,741,20098,000502,6197,648,550874,120
CZECH REPUBLIC0.510.7974533,891,6251,275,00035,087,8001,530,00036,682,7001,530,00031,898,000357,0001,834,13527,910,7503,189,800
DENMARK2.001.9804584,169,1255,000,00087,139,8006,000,00091,100,7006,000,00079,218,0001,400,0004,555,03569,315,7507,921,800
GERMANY20.5020.57980874,641,50051,250,000905,511,20061,500,000946,670,80061,500,000823,192,00014,350,00047,333,540720,293,00082,319,200
ESTONIA0.050.086353,669,875125,0003,799,400150,0003,972,100150,0003,454,00035,000198,6053,022,250345,400
IRELAND0.910.9400639,952,5502,275,00041,362,6402,730,00043,242,7602,730,00037,602,400637,0002,162,13832,902,1003,760,240
GREECE1.471.5073564,062,3753,675,00066,323,4004,410,00069,338,1004,410,00060,294,0001,029,0003,466,90552,757,2506,029,400
SPAIN7.857.93248337,130,40019,625,000349,029,12023,550,000364,894,08023,550,000317,299,2005,495,00018,244,704277,636,80031,729,920
FRANCE19.5517.81269757,039,32548,875,000783,758,36058,650,000819,383,74058,650,000712,507,60013,685,00040,969,187623,444,15071,250,760
CROATIA0.000.225189,570,15009,907,920010,358,28009,007,2000517,9147,881,300900,720
ITALY12.8612.53009532,528,82532,150,000551,323,96038,580,000576,384,14038,580,000501,203,6009,002,00028,819,207438,553,15050,120,360
CYPRUS0.090.111624,743,850225,0004,911,280270,0005,134,520270,0004,464,80063,000256,7263,906,700446,480
LATVIA0.070.116124,935,100175,0005,109,280210,0005,341,520210,0004,644,80049,000267,0764,064,200464,480
LITHUANIA0.120.180777,682,725300,0007,953,880360,0008,315,420360,0007,230,80084,000415,7716,326,950723,080
LUXEMBOURG0.270.2550910,841,325675,00011,223,960810,00011,734,140810,00010,203,600189,000586,7078,928,1501,020,360
HUNGARY0.550.6145626,118,8001,375,00027,040,6401,650,00028,269,7601,650,00024,582,400385,0001,413,48821,509,6002,458,240
MALTA0.030.038011,615,42575,0001,672,44090,0001,748,46090,0001,520,40021,00087,4231,330,350152,040
NETHERLANDS4.854.77678203,013,15012,125,000210,178,32014,550,000219,731,88014,550,000191,071,2003,395,00010,986,594167,187,30019,107,120
AUSTRIA2.412.39757101,896,7256,025,000105,493,0807,230,000110,288,2207,230,00095,902,8001,687,0005,514,41183,914,9509,590,280
POLAND1.302.0073485,311,9503,250,00088,322,9603,900,00092,337,6403,900,00080,293,600910,0004,616,88270,256,9008,029,360
PORTUGAL1.151.1967950,863,5752,875,00052,658,7603,450,00055,052,3403,450,00047,871,600805,0002,752,61741,887,6504,787,160
ROMANIA0.370.7181530,521,375925,00031,598,6001,110,00033,034,9001,110,00028,726,000259,0001,651,74525,135,2502,872,600
SLOVENIA0.180.224529,542,100450,0009,878,880540,00010,327,920540,0008,980,800126,000516,3967,858,200898,080
SLOVAKIA0.210.3761615,986,800525,00016,551,040630,00017,303,360630,00015,046,400147,000865,16813,165,6001,504,640
FINLAND1.471.5090964,136,3253,675,00066,399,9604,410,00069,418,1404,410,00060,363,6001,029,0003,470,90752,818,1506,036,360
SWEDEN2.742.93911124,912,1756,850,000129,320,8408,220,000135,199,0608,220,000117,564,4001,918,0006,759,953102,868,85011,756,440
UNITED KINGDOM14.8214.67862623,841,35037,050,000645,859,28044,460,000675,216,52044,460,000587,144,80010,374,00033,760,826513,751,70058,714,480
TOTAL EU-28100.00100.004,250,000,000250,000,0004,400,000,000300,000,0004,600,000,000300,000,0004,000,000,00070,000,000230,000,0003,500,000,000400,000,000
4,500,000,0004,700,000,0004,900,000,0004,300,000,0003,900,000,000


(1) Internal Agreement between the Representatives of the Governments of the Member States of the European Union, meeting within the Council, on the financing of European Union aid under the multiannual financial framework for the period 2014 to 2020, in accordance with the ACP-EU Partnership Agreement, and on the allocation of financial assistance for the Overseas Countries and Territories to which Part Four of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union applies (OJ L 210, 06.08.2013, p. 1-14).
(2) Council Regulation (EU) 2015/323 of 2 March 2015 on the Financial Regulation applicable to the 11th European Development Fund (OJ L 58, 03.03.2015, p. 17–38).
(3) African, Caribbean and Pacific States.
(4) Overseas Countries and Territories.
(5) OJ L 210, 06.08.2013.
(6) OJ L 58, 03.03.2015.
(7) C(2018)4437 final, 6.7.2018. COMMISSION DECISION on a special measure for a contribution to the European Union Emergency Trust Fund for stability and addressing root causes of irregular migration and displaced persons in Africa to be financed from the 11th European Development Fund.
(8) Gross commitments, i.e. without de-commitments being deducted.
(9) Gross payments, i.e. without recoveries being deducted.